Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.235372 0.250725 0.266879 0.285197 0.305457 0.327254 0.352576
2025-02-16 0.195791 0.217611 0.242105 0.271896 0.307510 0.349185 0.402353
2025-02-23 0.172467 0.197843 0.227762 0.266226 0.315256 0.376973 0.462786
2025-03-02 0.155293 0.182435 0.215664 0.260292 0.320251 0.400572 0.521227
2025-03-09 0.142877 0.171112 0.206756 0.256422 0.326250 0.425157 0.584916
2025-03-16 0.133006 0.161842 0.199191 0.252887 0.331441 0.448457 0.650847
2025-03-23 0.127504 0.157605 0.197604 0.256972 0.347504 0.489875 0.755828
2025-03-30 0.120328 0.150479 0.191319 0.253425 0.351236 0.511884 0.831927
2025-04-06 0.112734 0.142225 0.182752 0.245539 0.346943 0.519366 0.881646
2025-04-13 0.106043 0.134793 0.174801 0.237798 0.341831 0.524345 0.927295
2025-04-20 0.102735 0.131890 0.173139 0.239520 0.352515 0.559572 1.050575
2025-04-27 0.100523 0.130382 0.173362 0.244137 0.368604 0.607926 1.224363
2025-05-04 0.096735 0.126485 0.169896 0.242707 0.374200 0.637406 1.366245
2025-05-11 0.092739 0.122115 0.165495 0.239448 0.376228 0.660320 1.503490
2025-05-18 0.089352 0.118482 0.162018 0.237468 0.380478 0.689252 1.678035
2025-05-25 0.085780 0.114397 0.157586 0.233459 0.380247 0.707849 1.830439
2025-06-01 0.082717 0.110937 0.153944 0.230535 0.381822 0.731235 2.019330
2025-06-08 0.079893 0.107711 0.150490 0.227653 0.383100 0.754202 2.226884
2025-06-15 0.078572 0.106727 0.150593 0.231196 0.398354 0.817877 2.690923
2025-06-22 0.076066 0.103785 0.147309 0.228184 0.398910 0.841018 2.975478
2025-06-29 0.073007 0.099865 0.142224 0.221440 0.390387 0.835992 3.092162
2025-07-06 0.070136 0.096150 0.137338 0.214799 0.381506 0.828459 3.192284
2025-07-13 0.068904 0.094991 0.136702 0.216279 0.391573 0.882104 3.806034